Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 0.009180 0.010325 0.011583 0.013072 0.014790 0.016717 0.019051
2025-05-04 0.007351 0.008880 0.010708 0.013071 0.016069 0.019782 0.024780
2025-05-11 0.006387 0.008085 0.010231 0.013175 0.017166 0.022466 0.030172
2025-05-18 0.005621 0.007378 0.009697 0.013035 0.017805 0.024515 0.034926
2025-05-25 0.005121 0.006936 0.009422 0.013154 0.018746 0.027033 0.040682
2025-06-01 0.004650 0.006466 0.009037 0.013036 0.019281 0.028973 0.045817
2025-06-08 0.004168 0.005926 0.008482 0.012581 0.019213 0.029926 0.049445
2025-06-15 0.003886 0.005646 0.008276 0.012625 0.019914 0.032182 0.055654
2025-06-22 0.003742 0.005558 0.008344 0.013099 0.021367 0.035887 0.065145
2025-06-29 0.003457 0.005225 0.007995 0.012842 0.021521 0.037301 0.070481
2025-07-06 0.003200 0.004913 0.007650 0.012550 0.021569 0.038507 0.075590
2025-07-13 0.003022 0.004714 0.007473 0.012527 0.022098 0.040688 0.083157
2025-07-20 0.002925 0.004649 0.007529 0.012955 0.023589 0.045116 0.096969
2025-07-27 0.002761 0.004462 0.007361 0.012960 0.024272 0.048032 0.108078
2025-08-03 0.002629 0.004317 0.007254 0.013063 0.025159 0.051523 0.121475
2025-08-10 0.002476 0.004122 0.007035 0.012924 0.025515 0.053877 0.132512
2025-08-17 0.002371 0.004005 0.006952 0.013043 0.026437 0.057700 0.148630
2025-08-24 0.002246 0.003841 0.006764 0.012926 0.026819 0.060284 0.161914
2025-08-31 0.002090 0.003610 0.006432 0.012475 0.026378 0.060740 0.168872
2025-09-07 0.002004 0.003506 0.006336 0.012518 0.027101 0.064324 0.186875
2025-09-14 0.001972 0.003500 0.006433 0.012988 0.028918 0.071181 0.218174
2025-09-21 0.001866 0.003343 0.006214 0.012733 0.028900 0.072950 0.232144
2025-09-28 0.001764 0.003188 0.005990 0.012444 0.028760 0.074350 0.245266